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June 4, 2024 Special Dispatch No. 11375

All Eyes On Taiwan

June 4, 2024
China | Special Dispatch No. 11375

Introduction

China is a threat to the West, and particularly to the U.S., on all levels – military, economic, cyber, and scientific, as well as, with relation to COVID-19, in terms of public health. China as an emerging threat has become a matter of bipartisan consensus.

China's continuing threats to invade Taiwan also represent an attack on the West. Today, Taiwan, a small island of great strategic value, is called on to be the frontline in the fight against the totalitarian Chinese Communist regime. Taiwan's fate is inextricably linked with that of the U.S. Should Taiwan be taken by the CCP, the U.S. would lose its most effective means to balance the Communist regime. Consequently, the U.S.'s dominant position in the Indo-Pacific region would collapse. From then on, the CCP would face off against the U.S. and its allies in the region. Thus, the CCP would end up with absolute control of the South China Sea, a resource-rich region and the lifeblood of the world's maritime transport – and its external expansion and projection of influence would grow rapidly by leaps and bounds.

Following the inaugural speech of Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te, in which Taiwan's sovereignty was asserted, Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) launched in the morning of May 23, 2024, a massive two-day military exercise code-named Joint Sword-2024A, surrounding the island of Taiwan (to the north, south and east of Taiwan, as well as areas around the islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu and Dongyin, which are located in the Taiwan Strait), simulating an attack on the island with naval warships, fighter jets, bombers, helicopters, and rocket launch systems.

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) mouthpiece Global Times wrote that the recent Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) and the China Coast Guard (CCG) drills around Taiwan are a "new normal" of "anti-salami-slicing" against "provocations" by the "Taiwan independence secessionist forces."

On May 24, Chinese defense spokesperson, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, stated: "The military drills around Taiwan aim to crack down on the arrogance of 'Taiwan independence' separatist forces and deter the interference and intervention of external forces, which are completely reasonable, lawful, legitimate, and necessary... Taiwan is China's Taiwan, and how to resolve the Taiwan question is a matter for over 1.4 billion Chinese people... With each provocation of the 'Taiwan independence' separatist forces, our countermeasures will advance one step further until the complete reunification of the motherland is realized."

On May 25, 2024, CCTV Video News Agency (China) aired a report featuring 3D animations of the PLA's "Joint Sword 2024A" military exercise around Taiwan. In the report, Chinese National Defense University expert Zhang Chi provided explanations over animations of missiles striking Taiwan, stating that China has the ability to launch a "joint strike on the political center of 'Taiwan independence,'" including ports and airports, with the goal of achieving air, maritime, and information superiority in Taiwan.

It is worth noting that, compared to the 2022 previous drills, after then-U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taipei, the Joint Sword-2024A covered wider regions, and the drill's encirclement on the main island of Taiwan became tighter, with the goal of normalizing the PLA's presence in the area in case of an actual invasion of the island.

Below is a collection of MEMRI reports and analyses about China's prospects of a hegemonic war over Taiwan:

  • China's Joint Sword 2024A Drills

  • August 2022 Drills And Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's Visit

  • The One China Principle

  • China Warns The U.S. And The West Not To Interfere In Taiwan's Affairs

  • China Warns Taiwan Not To Rely On The U.S.

  • Reunification With Taiwan And The Use Of Force

  • Scenarios For A War On Taiwan

  • Russia's Support For China, And How The War In Ukraine Influences China's Plan To Invade Taiwan

  • Analyses: China's Plans To Invade Taiwan

MEMRI Chinese Media Studies Project - Contributions To This Booklet

Heino Klinck, member of MEMRI's Board of Advisors. He served as the U.S. deputy assistant secretary of defense for East Asia, 2019-2021. As a U.S. Army foreign area officer, he served as a military attaché in China, 2004-2010

Andrew J. Masigan, MEMRI China Media Studies Project Special Advisor. He is a Manila-based economist, businessman, and political columnist for The Philippine Star.

Chris King, Senior Research Fellow for the MEMRI Chinese Media Studies Project. King was an active participant in the student protests in China in 1989.

Anna Mahjar-Barducci, Senior Research Fellow.

Alex Smith, Senior Research Fellow.

The following reports and analyses are organized by topic, not by date.

China's Joint Sword 2024A Drills

Following the inaugural speech of Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te, in which Taiwan's sovereignty was asserted, Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) launched in the morning of May 23, 2024, a two-day massive military exercise code-named Joint Sword-2024A, surrounding the island of Taiwan (to the north, south and east of Taiwan, as well as areas around the islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu and Dongyin, which are located in the Taiwan Strait), simulating an attack on the island with naval warships, fighter jets bombers, helicopters, and rocket launch systems.

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Mouthpiece Global Times: CCP Drills Around Taiwan Are 'A New Normal' Of 'Anti-Salami-Slicing' Against 'Provocations' By The 'Taiwan Independence Secessionist Forces', May 31, 2024. 

Chinese News Outlet Airs Elaborate Animation Depicting Military Strikes Against Taiwan: We Have The Ability To Achieve Air, Sea, And Information Superiority, Cripple The Taiwan Independence Movement, May 24, 2024.

China's Taiwan Affairs Office Spokeswoman: People's Liberation Army Drills Around Taiwan To Continue Until Provocations Stop, May 29, 2024.

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Mouthpiece Global Times: 'People's Liberation Army Holds Joint Drills Surrounding Taiwan Island To Punish Secessionist Forces', May 24, 2024.

Lai Ching-te Takes Office As President Of Taiwan: 'China's Military Actions And Gray-Zone Coercion' Are 'The Greatest Strategic Challenges To Global Peace And Stability', May 21, 2024.


In gray, the 2022 drills and in red the Joint Sword 2024 A drills. the drill's encirclement on the main island of Taiwan became tighter, with the goal of normalizing the PLA's presence in the area in case of an actual invasion of the island. (Source: Global Times)


2022 drills compared to 1995-1996 PLA exercises (Source: CGTN)


PLA Eastern Theater Command's Joint Sword-2024A posters, mentioning "cross-strait lethality." The posters show: J-20 stealth fighter, J-16 fighter, Type 052D destroyer, Type 071 amphibious warfare ship, short-range ballistic missile, PHL-16 rocket artillery systems. (Source: Mgronline.com)


PLA's six key words:
(advance),
(surround/besiege), (lock down), (attack), (destroy), (cut off). The PLA tries to cut off access to Taiwan both by sea and air. The map shows that the PLA tried to squeeze the islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu and Dongyin, which are located in the Taiwan Strait (closer to China) and put pressure on military centers on the eastern side of the island, like the Hualien air base. (Source: X)


Chinese PLA Navy warships have been deployed off the coast of Eastern Taiwan, only 16 nautical miles away from Hualien, where is located Taiwan's key air base. (Source: X)


The map shows PLA vessels moving toward Taiwan from all sides, as part of the Joint Sword-2024A drill. (Source: PLA Eastern Theater Command)

August 2022 Drills And Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's Visit

On August 2, 2022, United States politician Nancy Pelosi, while serving as the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, visited Taiwan. As a result of the visit, Beijing threatened a crisis across the Taiwan Strait. Xi Jinping and the CCP authorities base their legitimacy on the so-called "Chinese dream of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation," and one of the most important points is the reunification of the "motherland" with Taiwan. Xi Jinping and the Chinese authorities felt that, failing to respond to Pelosi's visit to Taiwan with sufficient weight, it would have been a major blow to Xi's power and prestige, and thus to the CCP's ruling position. Hence, after her visit, the CCP kicked off its biggest-ever military drills around Taiwan.

China Daily: 'By Flagrantly Playing With Fire On The Taiwan Question, Some U.S. Politicians Are Making Themselves Enemies Of The 1.4 Billion Chinese People', August 15, 2022.

Chinese Media Outlet: 'Understanding The Ten Breakthroughs' Of Beijing's Joint Military Operations Around Taiwan, August 15, 2022.

Beijing's White Paper: 'The Taiwan Question And China's Reunification In The New Era', August 12, 2022.

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Mouthpiece Global Times: 'Tension Escalates Hours Ahead Of Pelosi's Potential Taiwan Visit As PLA Remains Fully Prepared For Any Crisis', August 2, 2022.

Russian Commentators Convinced That Pelosi's Provocative Taiwan Visit Will Play Into Russia's Hands, August 4, 2022.

Chinese FM Spokeswoman Hua Chunying On Pelosi's Taiwan Visit: The U.S. Is Approaching Our Red Line, Any Chinese Countermeasures Would Be Legitimate, August 2, 2022.

China Increases Military And 'Law Enforcement' Activity In Taiwan Straits As 'Serious Warning' To Taiwan Separatists, 'Stern Deterrence' Against American Escalation, August 3, 2022.

Chinese Experts: 'People's Liberation Army Rocket Force Could Conduct Drills With New Missiles Targeting Any Possible U.S. Aircraft Carriers... Involved In Pelosi's Visit [To Taiwan]', July 28, 2022.

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Mouthpiece Commentator Hu Xijin: 'People's Liberation Army Warplane Can "Accompany" Pelosi's Plane If She Visits Taiwan', July 26, 2022.

Chinese Foreign Ministry Officials On Planned Pelosi Visit To Taiwan: The Visit Will Undermine Our Sovereignty, Deal A Heavy Blow To U.S.-China Relations; If The U.S. Insists, China Will Take 'Resolute' Measures To Safeguard Its National Security, July 19, 2022.

Chinese Military Video Published Ahead Of U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's Asia Trip Showcases Infantry, Naval, Aerial, Missile Capabilities, August 1, 2022.


United States politician Nancy Pelosi, while serving as the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, and former Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen, on August 2, 2022. (Source: Office of the President)

The One China Principle

"The One-China Principle is the foundation stone for the Chinese government's policy on Taiwan," stressed the Chinese government. Explaining the One-China principle, Chinese news agency Xinhua wrote: "The real status quo of the Taiwan Strait is this: there is only one China in the world; Taiwan is a part of China; and the Government of the People's Republic of China is the sole legal government representing the whole of China. The two sides across the Taiwan Strait belong to the one and same China. The sovereignty and territory of China have never been divided."

Chinese FM Wang Yi On Taiwan Elections, China-Russia Relations: The One China Principle Is An International Consensus; We Will Not Allow Taiwan To Be Separated From The Motherland; China And Russia Have Forged A New Paradigm Of Major Country Relations, March 7, 2024.

Chinese FM Wang Yi At The United Nations: Enduring Peace Can Only Be Achieved If China And Taiwan Are Reunified; Any Attempt To Interfere In Our Domestic Affairs Will Be Crushed By The Wheels Of History, September 26, 2022.

Closing Statements Of Recent GCC-China And Arab-China Summits: The Sides Support The UAE's Efforts To Resolve The Issue Of The Three Islands Held By Iran; Affirm "That Taiwan Is An Integral Part Of Chinese Territory And Reject Taiwan's 'Independence' In All Its Forms", December 12, 2022.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas During China-Arab Summit: We Support Beijing's One-China Policy, Demand Apology And Reparations From The U.S., Britain, And Israel, December 10, 2022.

Chinese State Council Taiwan Affairs Office Spokesman Ma Xiaoguang: Taiwanese Independence Is A Fallacy, A Separatist Plot, June 29, 2022.

Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesman Zhao Lijian: Taiwan Is Part Of China; The PRC Is The Sole Legitimate Chinese Government; U.S. Must Adhere To The One-China Principle, Respect Our Territorial Integrity, August 29, 2022.

Chinese News Agency Xinhua Lists 'Eleven Facts' Reaffirming The 'One-China Principle' Over Taiwan, September 1, 2022.

CCP State-Run Media Outlet Global Times Editor-In-Chief Hu Xijin: 'The Island Of Taiwan Will Never Be Split Away From China;' 'The Chinese Mainland Dares To Resort To Force When Necessary', March 15, 2021.

Chinese Journalist Hu Xijin: Although Taiwan Tensions Are At All-Time High, War Is Not Inevitable – Taiwan's Authorities Will Eventually Back Down; China Is Defending Its Sovereignty, Territorial Integrity, October 21, 2021.

Viral Chinese Music Video Titled "Traveling To Taiwan In 2035" Predicts Reunification With Taiwan, November 3, 2021.

Chinese FM Spokesman Zhao Lijian: America Must Know That The One-China Principle Cannot Be Challenged; We Will Strive For Peaceful Reunification With Taiwan, But Will Take 'Decisive Measures' If Necessary, December 6, 2021.

China's Taiwan Affairs Office Spokesman: Any Economic Framework Joined By Taiwan Must Be In Line With The 'One China' Principle; We Oppose Taiwan's Attempts To Squeeze Into America's Indo-Pacific Strategy, April 13, 2022.

China's Political Advisor Wang Yang: 'Both Sides Of The Taiwan Strait Belong To The Same Country And Taiwan Is Part Of China', August 2, 2022.


(Source: MEMRI TV Clip No. 9187, Viral Chinese Music Video Titled "Traveling To Taiwan In 2035" Predicts Reunification With Taiwan: "Get On That Train To Taiwan", November 4, 2021.)

China Warns The U.S. And The West Not To Interfere In Taiwan's Affairs

Chinese authorities declared that the Joint Sword-2024A military drills around Taiwan aimed "to crack down on the arrogance of 'Taiwan independence' separatist forces" and "deter the interference and intervention of external forces [i.e., the United States] Chinese media outlet Huaxia accused the U.S. of stirring up trouble for China by playing the "Taiwan card." Huaxia stated that the U.S. is playing the role of rescuer in a conflict of its own making, as the "continuous intensification of cross-strait political and military confrontation" fuels Taiwan's belief that it needs a protector.

Chinese Defense Ministry Spokesman: We Strongly Deplore American Ships Passing Through The Taiwan Strait Near Xisha Islands; This Is A Typical Hegemonic Practice That Undermines Regional Stability; The PLA Is On High Alert To Counter Any Provocations, May 18, 2024.

Renowned Filipino Expert Masigan: 'China Is America's Frankenstein [Monster]'; 'Dominion Over Taiwan And The Sea Lanes Is The Power Base China Needs To Project Its Influence Worldwide – It Brings China One Step Closer To Dethroning The U.S.', March 21, 2024.

Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Wang Wenbin: 'Taiwan Is Not A Country'; 'To Use Taiwan To Contain China Is To Play With Fire And Will Definitely Backfire', May 22, 2024.

CCP Journalist Hu Xijin: China's PLA Can Overwhelm Taiwan, Would Not Be Deterred By American Or Japanese Forces, February 5, 2024.

China Daily: 'No Matter How Many U.S. Politicians Visit Taiwan, And How Many Military Exercises The U.S. Stages In The Region With Its Allies... They Will Not Change The Island's Status', September 1, 2022.

Chinese Military Professor Meng Xiangqing: We Will Escalate Military Exercises In Taiwan Strait As Long As Taiwanese Secessionism, American Intervention Continues; We Prefer Peaceful Reunification, But Will Not Renounce Our Right To Use Military Force, August 6, 2022.

Chinese Propaganda Outlet Global Times: Top U.S. Military Official Revealed That U.S. Troops Failed Miserably In Simulated "War for Taiwan", July 29, 2021.

Chinese Media Outlet Huaxia: 'Is The U.S. Supporting Or Harming Taiwan?', April 26, 2021.

Fearing Support For Taiwan's Independence, CCP Media Attempts To Ridicule Former U.S. Secretary Of State Pompeo's Wish To Visit Taiwan, March 22, 2021.

Prof. Tang Yonghong, Deputy Director Of Taiwan Research Center At Xiamen University: China-U.S. Relations Can Be Normalized Only After Taiwan Reunifies With The Mainland, March 17, 2021.

Influential Chinese Professor Jin Canrong: If China Takes Over Taiwan, We'll Replace The U.S. As The World's 'Big Boss', October 26, 2021.

CCP Journalist Hu Xijin: If The U.S. Changes The Name Of Its Representative Office In Taiwan, China Will Recall Its Ambassador, Take Economic, Military Action, September 13, 2021.

Chinese Think Tank Research Report: 'We Should Have No Illusions About The Comprehensive And Intensified Ideological Game Between China And The United States, And Must Make A Full Preparation', July 25, 2022.

CCP Journalist Hu Xijin: U.S. Military Intervention in Taiwan Would Be Suicide for American Troops, July 20, 2022.

Chinese Academic Ding Duo: 'China Has Sovereignty, Sovereign Rights, And Jurisdiction Over The Taiwan Strait,' U.S. Considers It 'International Waters' To Pursue 'Maritime Hegemony', July 6, 2022.

Chinese Academic Teng Jianqun: 'We Must Remain Highly Vigilant Against... Collusion Between The United States And Taiwan', July 5, 2022.

CCP Mouthpiece Global Times Commentator Hu Xijin: 'If The U.S. Forces Would Dare To Come To The Taiwan Strait For Combat, The People's Liberation Army Will Beat The Sh*t Out Of Them', June 15, 2022.

Chinese Defense Minister: If Anyone Dares To Split Taiwan From China, We Will Fight To The End, No Matter The Cost, June 12, 2022.

Spokesman Of China's National Defense Ministry Wu Qian: U.S. Is Using Taiwan To Contain China, Undermine The One-China Principle – This Is Wishful Thinking; The PLA Is Ready To Take Any Measure To Defend China's Territorial Integrity, May 27, 2022.

Chinese Media Outlet 'People's Daily' On U.S.-Taiwan 'Monterey' Security Talks: The U.S.'s Building Of Taiwanese 'Asymmetric Capability' Is 'Very Much Daydreaming For The Secessionist Forces On The Island', June 29, 2022.

CCP Mouthpiece China.org.cn: The White House And Biden 'Conspire To Play A Trial And Error Game On The Taiwan Question,' Switching 'Back And Forth' Between 'Strategic Clarity' And 'Strategic Ambiguity' To 'Confuse The Public', June 9, 2022.


Two fighter jets attached to an aviation brigade of the air force under the PLA Eastern Theater Command take off for the designated airspace during a flight training exercise on May 14, 2022. (Source: Eng.chinamil.com.cn; Photo by Xing Zhitao)


(Source: Global Times)

China Warns Taiwan Not To Rely On The U.S.

CCP mouthpiece Global Times warned repeatedly that "Taiwan independence" means war, and that the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party) authorities in Taiwan should not rely on the U.S. to mount any "separatist attempt" to "resist reunification" with the mainland China.

Chinese Propaganda Outlet Global Times: Taiwan Should Not Rely On U.S. Support To Mount 'Separatist Attempt,' Cites U.S. Military Official Saying Troops Failed Miserably In Simulated 'War For Taiwan', August 27, 2021.

CCP Media Outlet 'Global Times': U.S. Abandonment Of Afghanistan Is A Lesson For Taiwan, August 23, 2021.

Chinese Media Figure Wang Zaixi on Taiwan-China Tensions: If a War Breaks Out, Taiwan Stands No Chance; America Cannot Be Counted On, December 11, 2021.


(Source: Global Times)

Reunification With Taiwan And The Use Of Force

Senior Chinese personalities, from Xi Jinping down through Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leaders and People's Liberation Army (PLA) commanders, have been reiterating for years that Taiwan must be reunited with mainland China, and that this will happen whether by peaceful means or by way of military action.

Chen Binhua, Spokesman Of China's Taiwan Affairs Office: We Will Sincerely Pursue Peaceful Reunification, But Reserve The Option To Use Any Measures Necessary, Including Use Of Force, March 13, 2024.

Chinese National Defense Ministry Spokesman: Supporters Of 'Taiwan Independence' Separatist Forces 'Will Get Burned For Playing With Fire', March 18, 2024.

Filipino Journalist Andrew Masigan: Xi Jinping Said That '2024 Will Be The Year Of Reunification Between China And Taiwan'; 'Should China Succeed In Its Taiwan Campaign, An Invasion Of Strategic Areas Of Southeast Asia Will Likely Follow', March 11, 2024.

Chinese Media Outlet 81.cn: 'Taiwan Independence And Peace In The Taiwan Strait Are Incompatible'; 'China Will Realize Reunification, And This Is Unstoppable', January 24, 2024.

Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu: We Will Sincerely Pursue Peaceful Reunification With Taiwan, But Do Not Renounce The Use Of Force; Our Military Will Not Hesitate To Defend Our Sovereignty, Territorial Integrity From Foreign Threats, June 6, 2023.

Chinese Expert Xiao Wu Discusses Significance Of The Names Of PLA Navy's Type 055 Destroyers: Xianyang Means 'Grand Reunification,' Is Meant To Deter Taiwanese Independence Elements, March 27, 2023.

Chinese International Affairs Expert: PLA Jets Patrolling Over Taiwan Were In 'Quasi-State Of War,' Were Familiarizing Themselves With The 'Battlefield', January 29, 2022.

Chinese Ambassador To Iran Chang Hua: We Hope To Reunify With Taiwan Through Peaceful Means, But We Will Never Give Up The Military Option; We Will Not Allow Taiwanese Independence; NATO Should Be Dismantled, December 17, 2022.

Chinese Media Outlet Duowei: Public Opinion In China Has 'Worn Out Patience' Regarding 'Peaceful Reunification' With Taiwan – 'Making Louder And Louder [The] Voice' Of 'Military Unification', April 20, 2021.

Spokesman Of China's Taiwan Affairs Office Ma Xiaoguang: We Will Crush Any DPP Efforts To Attain Taiwanese Independence, July 15, 2022.

Chinese Ministry Of National Defense Spokesman: Taiwan Is Part Of China — There Is No Median Line In The Taiwan Strait, May 26, 2022.

Chinese Pundits Say Reunification With Taiwan Has Already Started, Threaten Japan, American Anti-Chinese Lawmakers, December 2, 2021.

Chinese Military Expert Wang Yunfei: China Can Take Over Taiwan 'As Early As Tomorrow', December 9, 2021.

Scenarios For A War On Taiwan

In the early 21st century, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) launched a large-scale naval expansion plan aimed at increasing its maritime power. This was in the context of its long-term strategic goals of conquering Taiwan, of countering the security challenges posed by the United States and its allies, and of expanding its global interests.

In First Episode Of CCP-Produced TV Series Depicting War Scenario Involving Taiwan, PLA Aircraft Carrier Intercepts 'Enemy' Aircraft, Soldiers Carry Out Major Amphibious Assault, August 2, 2023.

Chinese PLA Music Video Titled 'Inspect The Strait' Shows Infantry, Naval, Air Exercises, Including Amphibious Landings, Parachuting, And Ground Assaults, August 17, 2023.

Chinese Professor Li Yi: China Can Sustain Losing Up To Half Its Population For The Sake Of Unification With Taiwan, May 24, 2023.

Su Chi, Chairman Of Taiwan-Based Think Tank: China Will Reunite With Taiwan Within Five Years, We Cannot Rely On The United States, October 13, 2022.

Footage Captured By Chinese Drone Flying Over Taiwanese Military Outpost, August 29, 2022.

China's Eastern Theater Command Publishes Video About Exercises In The Taiwan Strait Involving Stealth Fighters, Sea Assaults, Long-Range Missiles, August 11, 2022.

Taiwanese Media Outlet Nownews.com: Beijing May 'Carry Out A Pincer Attack Along Our Northeastern Waters Against The Eastern Coast Of Taiwan', May 31, 2022.

Chinese Political Scientist Ilham Li: Taiwan Independence Will Set Off China's Military Option: China Will Not Be The First To Shoot, Use Nuclear Weapons, May 23, 2022.

Chinese Analyst Zengming: 'Mainland China Must Not Take Taiwan's Asymmetrical Combat Power Lightly... We Cannot Sit On A 'Powder Keg' Sipping Tea, July 11, 2022.

Taiwan's 'Global Defense Magazine': 'If Taiwan Loses Its Sea And Air Superiority In The Initial Battle' With China, The Ukrainian 'Urban Warfare Scenario' May Be Repeated In Taiwan, June 9, 2022.


Screenshot from
MEMRI TV Clip No. 10235 - Chinese Navy's Type 055 Destroyer Wuxi Passes Three-Day Combat Assessment Exercise Involving Air Defense, Anti-Submarine, And Electronic Warfare Operations, March 27, 2023.

Russia's Support To China, And How The War In Ukraine Influences China's Plan To Invade Taiwan

Commenting on Russia-China relations, the Foreign Ministry of China wrote: "Having lasted three quarters of a century, China-Russia relations have grown from strength to strength despite the ups and downs, and have stood the test of changing international landscape… The China-Russia relationship today is hard-earned, and the two sides need to cherish and nurture it." Russian media outlet Izvestia further stated that the alliance between Russia and China is getting stronger "amid the collapse of the foundation of the world order," which was imposed by the "golden billion" since the end of the Cold War. The media outlet added that "the alliance" between Russia and China is "the very embodiment of stability and common sense," and its goal is to "turn the notorious unipolarity into a vestige of history."

Russian Reactions To Chinese Military Drills Around Taiwan, June 3, 2024.

Russian Outlet On Possible Chinese Invasion Of Taiwan: 'War Seems To Be Inevitable... Will Taiwan Repeat The Fate Of Ukraine?', February 2, 2024.

Renowned Chinese Academic Tang Yonghong: 'Today's Ukraine, Tomorrow's Taiwan' Will Surely Become A Reality!, April 11, 2022.

Popular Chinese Pundit Sima Nan: The West's "Fancy Tricks" Against Russia In Ukraine May Eventually Be Used In Taiwan Against China; Foreign Volunteers Might Just Be NATO Soldiers Fighting As "Mercenaries", March 1, 2022.

Chinese FM Spokesperson Hua Chunying On Ukraine, U.S., And Taiwan: U.S. Is The Culprit Behind Ukraine Conflict, Must Not Harm Chinese Interests In Handling The Issue; Taiwan Cannot Be Compared To Ukraine, February 25, 2022.

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Mouthpiece China.org.cn: The White House And Biden 'Conspire To Play A Trial And Error Game On The Taiwan Question,' Switching 'Back And Forth' Between 'Strategic Clarity' And 'Strategic Ambiguity' To 'Confuse The Public', June 9, 2022.

Chinese Communist Party Mouthpiece 'Global Times': 'If Taiwan Wants To Use The Russian-Ukrainian Conflict As A Template... To Replicate The Ukrainian Success... It Will Usher In A More Complete Failure', June 2, 2022.

Taiwanese Journalist in Chinese Communist Party-Controlled Media Outlet Guancha.cn: U.S. 'Is Far From Being Able To Use The Same Tools Against Russia To Deal With China'; Taiwan Is 'Not Ready To Fight A Ukrainian-Style Cannon Fodder War', May 31, 2022.

Russian Military Expert Felgengauer Punctures The Hope That Tension Between China And Taiwan Could Open Up A Second Front To Distract The US, August 9, 2022.


Taiwan (Source: Tsargrad.tv)


On May 16-17, 2024, President of Russia Vladimir Putin was on a state visit to China during which Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping held talks, made press statements, following consultations, signed a package of documents. ( Source: Chinadaily.com.cn)

Analyses: China's Plans To Invade Taiwan

By Heino Klinck:

Status Quo No More, by Heino Klinck, August 26, 2022.

The War In Ukraine And Implications For Deterring Chinese Aggression Against Taiwan, by Heino Klinck, June 3, 2022.

The Dangers Of Miscalculation In The Taiwan Strait – Three Sides To The Same Coin, by Heino Klinck, October 29, 2021.

By Yigal Carmon and M. Reiter:

Could A Chinese Attack To Reunite Taiwan With The Mainland Still Be A Surprise?, by Yigal Carmon and M. Reiter, December 30, 2021.

By Andrew Masigan:

Despite Being Economically Weak, China May Be Triggered To Attack Taiwan – Xi, Like Putin, Is Belligerent And Unpredictable, by Andrew J. Masigan, April 16, 2024.

By Chris King:

The Evolution Of Xi Jinping's Attitude Towards Taiwan – From Conciliatory To Irreversibly Hardline, by Chris King, August 27, 2021.

For Chinese President Xi Jinping, Conquering Taiwan Is A Matter Of Honor And 'Saving Face, by Chris King, November 29, 2021.

Beijing Intensifies Production Of Advanced Type 055 Guided-Missile Destroyers, With The Aim Of Deterring U.S., Preparing For Conquest Of Taiwan, by Chris King, April 27, 2023.

The Battle For Defending Taiwan May Determine The World's Future Direction, by Chris King, November 1, 2021.

By Anna Mahjar-Barducci:

Who Should Represent China? The Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) People's Republic Of China (PRC) Or The Republic Of China (ROC) In Taiwan? By Anna Mahjar-Barducci, August 3, 2022.

 

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